Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.007037 0.007915 0.008875 0.010004 0.011300 0.012742 0.014475
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.005827 0.007062 0.008531 0.010418 0.012793 0.015703 0.019571
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004942 0.006283 0.007968 0.010260 0.013330 0.017345 0.023070
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004391 0.005802 0.007654 0.010297 0.014025 0.019178 0.026979
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003888 0.005302 0.007229 0.010089 0.014304 0.020408 0.030146
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003611 0.005071 0.007128 0.010297 0.015164 0.022536 0.034902
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003319 0.004781 0.006903 0.010281 0.015663 0.024149 0.039051
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002964 0.004360 0.006438 0.009839 0.015428 0.024550 0.041216
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002750 0.004132 0.006239 0.009785 0.015797 0.025961 0.045297
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002677 0.004112 0.006359 0.010250 0.017075 0.029054 0.052873
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002443 0.003815 0.006007 0.009889 0.016876 0.029503 0.055493
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002257 0.003582 0.005739 0.009642 0.016847 0.030247 0.058789
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002131 0.003444 0.005626 0.009674 0.017363 0.032138 0.064871
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002076 0.003420 0.005708 0.010067 0.018611 0.035639 0.075068
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001939 0.003245 0.005508 0.009915 0.018775 0.036964 0.080640
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001843 0.003134 0.005414 0.009951 0.019316 0.039140 0.088586
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001724 0.002971 0.005210 0.009751 0.019340 0.040192 0.093976
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001668 0.002919 0.005207 0.009951 0.020233 0.043299 0.105164
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001589 0.002819 0.005105 0.009936 0.020654 0.045375 0.114060
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001468 0.002630 0.004818 0.009510 0.020108 0.045084 0.116407
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001399 0.002537 0.004712 0.009458 0.020411 0.046900 0.125109
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001389 0.002558 0.004832 0.009906 0.021936 0.051999 0.144626
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001297 0.002410 0.004602 0.009558 0.021509 0.051998 0.148501